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Place your bets on endangered species

15/12/2009 00:26:01

Punters think Polar bears are in decline.

Polar bear decline is hot favourite
December 2009. Ireland's largest bookmaker, Paddy Power, is taking bets on the estimated global polar bear population on 31 December 2011 according to the world's largest independent conservation organization, the WWF.

The current WWF estimate places the polar bear population between 20,000 and 25,000; however Paddy Power's odds predict a sharp decline in their population over the next two years and they are offering odds of 13/8 that the number dips to between 15,000 and 20,000.

Critically endangered odds
The bookie is also offering odds on the number of critically endangered species that will appear on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species in 2010 with between 3501 and 4000 the 11/8 favourite.

Paddy Power said "With global warming now generally agreed to be the most significant threat to the polar bear we predict that their population will move in only one direction. Punters seem to share this view as we are yet to take a single bet on the polar bear population increasing"

WWF Polar Bear estimate on 31 December 2011

  • 20/1 Under 10,000

  • 8/1 10,000 - 15,000

  • 13/8 15,000 - 20,000

  • 7/4 20,000 - 25,000

  • 9/4 25,000 - 30,000

  • 4/1 Over 30,000

2010 Number of Critically Endangered species?

At time of writing, around 3325 were listed as critically endangered.

  • 8/1 Under 3000

  • 7/4 3000 - 3500

  • 11/8 3501 - 4000

  • 5/2 Over 4000
    *According to the IUCN Red List

All prices remain subject to fluctuation.

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